You're right, you'd need a load for the panel to actually produce anything. If there's nowhere for the electricity to go, it's just a fancy looking piece of glass.
My only solar right now is on my shed, and it's only 2x100watt panels, which charge a 12v battery. I started with a single 100w panel, and it wasn't enough. It would frequently be shaded and total production wasn't very good. I added the 2nd panel next to it, wired in parallel. The total output more than doubled, which tells me the 2nd panel, even though it's right next to the other one, with the same big trees nearby, gets less shade overall.
So basically, you're not going to get good data from a single panel. A physically larger array will be more efficient unless you get really lucky with the placement of the single panel.
What do you mean by a mains powered UPS? Do you plan on charging a large battery with the panels and having the ability to run the house off the battery?