The source is a retired US Generalβs gut feeling.
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We need a term for semi-expert. He probably knows more than me on the subject but there are definitely people more in tune to the situation.
The operative words here are 'likely', 'unlikely' and 'probably', which function as verbal CYA for a retired general giving an over-simplified analysis based on insufficient background knowledge.
"source?"
"...my gut is never wrong"
except on taco tuesday
No one knows anything, especially the ex general.
I highly doubt it.
Ya-Think
LOL. Unfortunately he isn't Gibbs.