this post was submitted on 26 Mar 2024
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[–] 200ok 3 points 8 months ago (1 children)

My flaw with the two-box choice is that the predictor is - in some way or another - always described as "perfect". Two-boxer people are contrarians!

~ Firm One-boxer

[–] [email protected] 4 points 8 months ago (1 children)

It's only the one-boxers who describe the predictor as β€œperfect”, presumably interpolating from the observation that the predictor has always been right so far. Two-boxers might argue that you have no idea if the predictor is perfect or whether they've just been incredibly lucky so far, but also, they will argue that this is irrelevant because the boxes have already been set up and your choice cannot change it anymore.

[–] 200ok 1 points 8 months ago

Interesting. Thanks for sharing that perspective πŸ€”