The article suggests that if Ukraine can withstand the conflict until 2024 and receive continued U.S. support, its chances of victory may increase. The U.S. and European defense industries are stepping up production, and European support for Ukraine remains strong. Russia's sustained war effort faces challenges, including manpower limitations and potential political difficulties for Putin. The article underscores the importance of ongoing assistance for Ukraine amid the dire situation it currently faces.

Author: John R. Deni is a research professor at the U.S. Army War College’s Strategic Studies Institute, a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, and an associate fellow at the NATO Defense College. He’s the author of NATO and Article 5 (Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, 2017). The views expressed are his own.

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[–] nexusband 15 points 1 year ago

IF the status quo can be kept and Ukraine really didn't loose more than 50k soldiers, time plays in Ukraine's hands. But those ifs are pretty damn big.