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Barbenheimer: ‘Barbie’ Tracking for Beatific $70M- $80M Opening, Christopher Nolan’s ‘Oppenheimer’ Targets $40M
(www.hollywoodreporter.com)
this post was submitted on 01 Jul 2023
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I completely agree 80m is lowballing. Looking at how well the Super Mario movie did, I could see Barbie opening a lot higher. Oppenheimer looks fantastic for sure, but I think most audiences aren't going out for a 3 hour historical biopic, even if it Christopher Nolan. Every other movie is bombing right now. The schedule looks like these 2 are the only thing worth a damn for 2 solid weeks until TMNT August 2. Everything is working in Barbies favor to be a mega hit, now it just has to be good.
SMBM made 150M in it’s 3 day weekend lol, that’s setting the bar a bit too high imo. I’d be very satisfied with anything above 80M, but my personal guess is 95. Oppenheimer has a bit of buzz and should end up profitable if Nolan kept his budget in a smart range. But yeah, the length and target audience are not a good fit for the current state of the box office.
Oh yeah for sure its not doing $150m. I'm just saying that Super Mario and Barbie are both extremely popular 80s and 90s IP and that I think the market is ripe for these kinds of remakes or reboots to really over perform. 100m opening, book it.