this post was submitted on 05 Jun 2023
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July 1st is when all the 3rd party apps will start dying. There will probably be an influx of people who weren't paying much attention or were hoping that nothing would really happen that suddenly start looking for an alternative when it affects them directly.
Its also possible that Reddit rows back from the API change (at least temporarily). I hope they do, so that we have a bit more time to get Lemmy ready.
On one hand, I think this is the best opportunity for lemmy to grow exponentially in terms of reddit immigrants. It would be great to take advantage of this since if many users from reddit have a good experience with lemmy it's free word of mouth advertising over at reddit. Plus I'm not sure reddit will do something like this again in the foreseeable future after their IPO comes out.
On the other hand, I completely understand that there are technical challenges that need to be addressed, and a user that's trying lemmy out for the first time would probably get turned off if it seems like lenny is unstable and/or there's not much content to engage him/her.
Id love for lenny to evolve and grow. I've only been here ~48 hours but I'm already less stressed and the community so far has been good to me. I'll still promote lenny even after this API issue until they ban me. Lol.
Yeah, I imagine potentially getting a couple extra zeros in the userbase of a still relatively small project in the space of like a month is more than just a little overwhelming. I hope reddit does at least allow more time for the API changes for a whole bunch of reasons, but I'm afraid they might really be planning on killing off third party apps before their IPO later this year.
That makes me think about how folks left Twitter for Mastodon in waves due to several screw-ups, I hope that the migrations to Lemmy can be spaced enough that we can retain the user base.