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Bild: Russia may attempt to attack Europe next winter, European intelligence source says
(kyivindependent.com)
this post was submitted on 24 Dec 2023
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Regeneration of military forces for Russia is a matter of political will, not military capacity. The casualties are incredibly steep for what was supposed to be a quick and modern war - but they're nowhere near what it would take to remove Russia's, or any other country of comparable size's, capacity to raise large formations of troops.
I highly doubt that EU offensive is on the table, but, well, other than what you've said, these aging bastards won't have any repercussions for whatever they'd order. They don't lose anything but Vanya units on the map, they'd likely find a great retirement somewhere in Africa in the end. They can gamble whatever they have and still stay on the top.
It's a question of how EU and NATO can respond, if the'd respond. There's a need for more tools to make oligarchs, modern-time boyars, lose everything and suffer, maybe even Mossad-style, in order for gating any new offensives. To make them know they won't be safe after doing X.
Imagine if, all at once, the whole cabinet would fly into Uganda or wherever country Wagner PMC took hold of. Is there an instrument to make them face anything then? Or they can just sniff coke and fuck for the next twenty years? Would there be any consequencies?
To Putin, life of people is nothing. Just throw a million as cannon fodders, and he will be laughing as long as his men don't shoot nukes at this point.
You are mostly right, but why won't he though? Why didn't he nuke Harkov, or Kiyv? There's still something he or his henchmen care about, something setting their limits. And I hope EU intelligence knows about it to rationally plan their response scenarios.
He knows that NATO won't be ok with them launching nukes...
Also it's Kharkiv, not Harkov(preferable pronunciation)
He also knew it wouldn't be ok with an open invasion. He knew it wouldn't with Crimea and FSB's Strelkov in DNR. In Georgia in 2008. In Chechnya. But he gambled.
And for so long no one cared besides directly endangered countries - like it changed your mil in 2014-2022 period from soviet-like pathetic scenes we saw in Donetsk videos (thanks to soviet corruption) to a reliable NATO-trained corps you operate now in a hurry. It's only after the fact something is happening. And that's not enough.
This dying piece of shit can think he can do anything, even nukes, if he knows the response would be slow and unmeaningful, or that he's dying anyway. He needs something to fear in order to care. And now all we know is that he launched everything but nukes, meddled in Ukraine, EU and US policies, but is yet to push the red button. Haha, kay. Why countries having military spending more than that shithole's gdp even enable that? He needed to have a fucking knife pointed onto his bowels way before everything I mentioned ever happened.
But yet, there we are. And as a paranoidal, not generally well-in-mind after all this madness person, I fear this fuckhead can bomb Kiyv after an obligatory erasion of Voronezh. Until there's something to hurt him back. And I'm afraid there're still not enough knifes behind him to really hope he wouldn't make a parting gift. There's a lack of a guarantee he wouldn't do that. There should be one. There should've been one before it all happened.
Kharkiv it is. Thanks for reminding me. I'm still a little bit habituated by soviet-russian namings ):