this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2023
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TLDR Wagner returning to positions after deal is met with the Kremlin. Wagner will sign a contract with the Defense Ministry. All charges against Prigozhin will be dropped.

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[–] pinwurm 3 points 2 years ago (1 children)

If not, It’ll rank amongst the biggest blunders in Russian political history, and Prigozhin will be dead in short order.

My money's on 'blunder'. However, I don't see Prigozhin being killed anytime soon. The criminal case against him was closed and he's moving to Belarus. He's incredibly popular - especially amongst Russian Ultranationalists, they'd risk martyring him.

Then again, moving to Belarus - he would be freer to criticize Russian Federation from a comfortable distance... and would be a thorn. TBD, I guess.

[–] Badgernomics 4 points 2 years ago (1 children)

At what point, if ever, in Russian politics has self-canibalisation been a problem for them?

Putin has thrown down against Prigozhin, brought Alltwen arms of State to bare... and allowed him to walk away...?

If you think he's blundered I would caution about underestimating him, a brutal, ruthless bastard... for sure, but not a fool....

If he was a fool he wouldn't have got to the position he has at Wagner in the first place...!

[–] pinwurm 4 points 2 years ago

My gut feeling is that this is a burn after reading moment.

If there’s anything following politics has taught me, is that fools can be highly effective with a little bit of luck.

And I agree with you. Fool or not, I wouldn’t underestimate the guy.