this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2023
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Here is my pet theory.
Originally, Prigozhin was driven to drastic measures due to his refusal of nationalization of Wagner. Now Lukasenka was asked by Putin to deliver a message to Prigozhin that he may allow Wagnerites to live under some kind of security arrangement.
All of this is driven by both Putin's and Prigozhin's desire to stay alive, with Lukasenka as a middleman.