this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2023
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The initial stages of a major counteroffensive by the Ukrainians are in progress, so news has been getting sparse over the past few weeks - nobody wants to let the Russians know the details of where the attacks are actually coming, to prevent them from being able to deploy their reserves effectively. I've been doing my best to follow things, and ironically enough the best place I'm aware of is still the worldnews live thread on Reddit.
The major events of the past few weeks:
And now, the Wagner mercenary group seems to have turned on the regular Russian military. If this is true then that's probably bigger than all of those developments combined and could be the start of an actual avalanche. Note that there still doesn't seem to be much confirmation that something is happening yet, just a bunch of officials saying that stuff is happening. This part is hour-by-hour news.
Thank you.
Of course, as soon as I write up a summary saying "here's all the major events", Wagner Group goes and launches a freakin' coup against Moscow. :)
In case you haven't seen that news, last night Prigozhin (leader of the Wagner Group mercenary company) seized the Russian city of Rostov-on-Don, which is where the headquarters and main logistical hub for the war on Ukraine is based. His forces are currently driving hard up the road toward Moscow. Putin has apparently fled the city and national guard units are digging in to defend it. The Russian military seems to be either refusing to engage with the Wagner Group or are actively supporting them, it's hard to say what's going on. Breaking news and all that.
This is probably the biggest single development since the previous Ukrainian counteroffensive. Possibly of the whole war.
Holy shit! That's huge.
Thanks very much for writing that all up, since leaving Reddit I'm not nearly as up to date.