this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2023
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You forgot about ties. They're rare, but they happen, and in this scenario they work like the 0 in Roulette - they fuck over your nice and comfy 50/50 chance.
And as others already mentioned: I'm pretty sure that whole scheme wohl just be plain fraud.
You could make a more informed split to increase your odds. Say a weak team plays against a strong team, and official sports betting offices rate the chances 30/70. Instead of splitting the two groups 50/50 you now split them 30/70 as well.
Emails (gmail at least) can also dynamically display information. So you could just change a wrong guess to a right one after the fact.