this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2023
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The real dip will happen when the third party apps go down, specially with stuff like reddit Sync's dev now making Sync for Lemmy instead, and Artemis for kbin/Lemmy and Memmy being heavily inspired by Apollo.
Lots of people come over when you explain it to them; even made this quick summary including Sync and Artemis to explain to confused redditors what's happening, and it seems to be effective. Feel free to use it.
Conversely if there are no easily accessible apps by the 30th, then many will cave and use the default app, and turn what would be a tsunami of new users into the #fediverse a trickle -
I think the two things that need to happen is that there needs to be good native apps and the moderators need to move as well.
I don't think we really even want a tsunami of new users. The infrastructure isn't ready and most of them won't won't even understand what federation means. A slow trickle while we work out the kinks is fine. It's not like it's a race or anything.