this post was submitted on 08 Sep 2023
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No Stupid Questions
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The ones who donβt want to see the west win.
Nobody gives a shit about Russia, but there are plenty of countries who would not want nato to succeed, if only to keep what is now Russia away from them once the country collapses under the population drain and economic oblivion caused by the conflict.
We already have certain hostile countries engaging in more or less subtle support, for example the Iranian suicide drones that somehow made their way into Russian hands in large quantities. China would not want nato to have Russia, they would rather claim it themselves.
Who will join Russia in actually fighting the war?
China? No.
Nth Korea? No.
Iran? No
Any others?
No.
They would be all on their own.
I have the feeling that the Belarus government would join only to be taken down within days by a coup.
China might just seize the opportunity to take Taiwan while US is distracted.
They might try but:
The US pacific fleet will still be there.
It takes months of prep to attempt to cross the Sth China Sea and they cannot hide the buildup. There are only about 2 or 3 months of the year when it is even possible.
Taiwan has almost perfect defensive geography. There are only two possible landing sites and Taiwan has been preparing them as killing zones for the past 70 years.
Honestly, Russia's progress in the past two years would look like a stunning success in comparison.