this post was submitted on 11 Aug 2023
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capitalism questions and discussion
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I've never heard of Jevons Paradox, seems interesting though.
It doesn't seem to apply when you find an abundant substitute resource that's more efficient though. If you discover that you can use hydrogen to produce far more energy than natural gas for a far lower cost, every time you make a new power plant you're going to make it hydrogen powered. Even though you could still use natural gas, there's no reason to. Energy production overall might increase, but natural gas usage drops considerably.
In the case of more efficient ways to use existing resources, it seems extremely difficult to say whether or not the jevons effect applies. The supply curve shifts to the right, the demand curve doesn't move, this results in far more goods being bought at a lower price. Does this mean more usage of the raw resource? I don't really know. It does seem that we'll have more of the good, for a lower cost, for probably (on average) the same amount of raw resource usage.
To answer your question, I think you would use all the resources you already had, making them each more efficient, but there's a limit. Supply could increase so much that the price drops below the cost of production, at which point no one would increase production. The demand curve has to move toward the right before it becomes profitable again.
In any case, if demand is going to increase, it's extremely vital to increase efficiency. Capitalism has built-in mechanisms for that. If demand isn't going to increase, jevons may or may not apply, it's really hard to know.
I'll look more into jevons in the future.