I sure didn't. I had elaborate ideas about how we could help the Ukrainians sink the black sea fleet on our behalf. And even then I figured we'd have to subsidize their insurance. Turns out they were just going to back down lol
Source Article (Forbes)
Russia's like sole lucid foreign policy moment was to recognize the grain deal was what gained it credibility for much of the world. The world is skeptical of the US screaming it's head off about Russian imperialism and whatever but then Russia unilaterally ends the grain deal, destroys grain, pledges to blockade grain and drive up the price
Really hope Ukraine can correctly tell the world "we want to bring you grain but they won't let us"
beyond that, this is like way more explicit than Obama's "red line," just a complete demonstration that you won't do shit