this post was submitted on 31 Jul 2023
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I have heard that dev kits were going out, probably the most credible rumors I've heard so far, but unless it's more like a switch 1.5, I don't think we're going to have a holiday 2024 release windows. Unless it's announced during holiday 2023 I suppose, but I can't see less than a year of marketing unless it's more of a deluxe/pro version.
The Switch was announced in October and released in March and it was plenty of time for hype. A console with this many sales didn't need a year of hype, I think that long of a wait would do the opposite actually.
Hmm, wow, looks like you're right, I thought that cycle was a lot longer. Perhaps because I end up so steepped in the rumor and leak community. Maybe then, maybe. The first time I heard the dev kit rumors was probably back in January ish? So let's say they had them for a quarter before the rumor got out, though it could obviously be a lot longer.
That's September 2022 to November 2024 to prepare launch titles, definitely not a bad timeline at all, especially if the architecture is similar to the switch.
Oh yeah, the rumours were swirling around for so long before hand. Nintendo Live is in Sept, so they might announce then and go for a May release. A bit longer between but a good time to build hype.
Yeah, leak season is my favorite part of the cycle, because so many of them are just so outlandish it's hilarious, plus the community is usually pretty chill about everything, even when the leak you supported/believed was debunked. Here's hoping, I think it'll either be September to May or June to November, with that new information. The death of E3 has opened up a lot of possibilities for announcements. It's almost more exciting than when you knew where it would be revealed.