this post was submitted on 27 Jul 2023
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It's not bad.
There's one thing that people tend to neglect that I like to remember--it's going to be awhile yet before an AI can walk up to your door, knock, come in and find the specific nature of a plumbing/electrical/HVAC or whatever problem, and then diagnose and fix it. And then get safely home without getting hit by a truck or vandalized by bored teenagers or both.
That's such a complex suite of different "problems" that we're going to need nothing less than a general AI to navigate them all. Thus, one of the last jobs that'll be replaced is various kinds of repair professionals that do house calls. The constant novelty of the career, where every call is its own unique situation, is a nightmare for a current-method AI.
Orchestrator AI to determine which context it's in with specialized AIs running for those tasks.
You're going to have an unacceptably high failure rate as you attempt to trial-and-error your way through all the lower-probability problems. Meanwhile, independent research paths aiming at general AI, which absolutely could handle all these problems, is racing you.