this post was submitted on 15 Feb 2025
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I think Hanlon's razor is a false dichotomy here. Neither stupidity nor malice are required to explain self-interest, which is the far more likely explanation given the people involved and their actions up to this point.
Yeah but see that's what does not compute: in what scenario does any oligarch benefit from increasing the country's nuclear risk? There's a thousand and one ways to make a lot more money a lot more safely, quickly and quietly.
That's why I'm of the opinion that Trumsk don't friggin' know what they're doing.
Without knowing the finer details, my assumption would be that it's some kind of risk/reward tradeoff.
Ok the nuclear risk is higher, but causing chaos in nuclear security could create opportunities like giving Trump or Musk more direct access to the nukes or removing people who might have prevented them from using them, thereby granting them more personal leverage. This would be in keeping with the Project 2025 aligned executive orders and such.
There might even be commercial opportunities for Musk: "oh well the state management of nuclear security was super inefficient, ApocalypseX will do it"
Remember disaster capitalism is a thing.
Indeed, this was he strategy laid out a couple of days ago in another post: The government fires essential workers, a newly created private company hires them (Trump Nuclear), pays them 15% more, works them twice the hours, and then charges the government (the people) 5 times as much for their work—all while lowering quality and safety standards.