this post was submitted on 26 Nov 2024
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So we're talking about maybe 15 people tops? I used to read these kinds of stories and tell myself that we were reaching the "find out" stage or whatever, but this is absolutely not a story. If it referenced any kind of poll data or wider reaching metric than reading a handful of tweets, there might be reason to hope, but as it stands, this is a nothingburger story that just gives you 15 minutes of feeling like there's justice in the world.
It's pretty disturbing that a lot of reporting has turned into "we saw 10 replies on twitter (or worse truth social) and wrote a story about it."
It's difficult to do polling and social science well. The kind of answers you want cost a lot of money to obtain. Aside from that, conservatives don't like to admit that they lost publicly or... anywhere else, often not even to themselves.
Polling relies on people answering the phone or mail so you largely get responses from uneducated and out of touch people
And good researchers know how to control for that.
edit: typo
There’s no control when there’s no way to verify the accuracy of what people are telling you. You can’t verify their income, race, age, social status, truthfulness of answers (a recent problem was people not admitting they were Trump fans in 2016).
I didn't say that it was easy.