this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2024
78 points (95.3% liked)

Futurology

1784 readers
149 users here now

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
[email protected]
78
Thom Yorke and Julianne Moore join thousands of creatives in AI warning: Statement comes as tech firms try to use creative professionals’ work to train AI models. (www.theguardian.com)
submitted 3 weeks ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
18 comments fedilink hide all child comments
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

If you're assuming that we have the technology now in its prototypical early-adopter phase then your estimate of 2030 is for adoption of LLMs and generative AI.

We don't have even prototypical AGI yet, and it is AGI which is necessary to "do all the work." The s-curve of technological adoption assumes that the technology exists at the start of the curve. This is what I meant when I said "I really don't think we are anywhere close to this."