this post was submitted on 21 Sep 2024
66 points (94.6% liked)

Political Humor

817 readers
1 users here now

Welcome to Political Humor!

Rules:

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
 
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] [email protected] 11 points 2 months ago

I don't think that's correct. Even when the margin of error is high relative to the difference between the politicians, the poll still provides some non-zero amount of information about which candidate is ahead. If the results are 49% vs 51% with a margin of error of +-5%, you should still bet on the candidate with 51% if you have to bet.

Now my pet peeve is when the media presents national polls as if they are the right polls to look at in order to predict which candidate will win. They should look at just the swing states!