this post was submitted on 10 Jul 2023
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More than a sneaking suspicion for me - my base case is that Spurs aren't a top 4 side. The only way I see them making it is if being back in the CL is such a wrench for Arsenal, Newcastle and Man Utd that their league form suffers badly. It certainly wouldn't be the first time this had happened, but all three clubs are on paper better than Spurs and have been strengthening their squads over the summer.
Yeah I pretty much agree with you. Also, it's typically Europa League that screws with league form. CL has a bit fewer and better placed fixtures (the thursday-sunday cycle seems to really mess with players' recovery and schedule).