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I guess my question is do you need a watch? Are you thinking of flipping the watch? If you can wait, you can probably get another deal during November/ black Friday sales but it's not guaranteed and I don't know if it'll be better. If you have the funds, you should get it just to ease your mind because Google is saying they're going to support phones for 7 years... (I don't think so, but who knows).
I pre-ordered, don't need or want the watch. But I have a Pixel 6 pro I am not using and $400 trade in is so much more than I could get on eBay or Swappa . If you are trading in, it makes sense to do it now, because those increased trade values are temporary for launch
If you're in the US and are with Fi, you get $400 off with no trade in required. That's where I went to buy my P8 Pro. I actually increased the size of it since the discount covered it. I got the watch separately and traded in my old pixel 1 watch.
I have thought a lot about moving to Fi, but I have to good of a deal with T-Mobile right now. 2 lines + 2 free lines, completely unlimited everything, plus netflix and apple tv for $100usd/month If they ever start scaling back my plan (like I hear they may do with this forced plan migration) I am going to hop over.