this post was submitted on 22 Aug 2023
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Doesn't seem super surprising. People who got worse symptoms had more lasting means causing them to die earlier. Am I misunderstanding something or is this pretty obvious.
To me it's still news worthy. If I were to be hospitalized due to covid and get out, I'll die in a year with 7% chance. That's huge information.
Statistics dont apply to individuals in that way. You are not an average, you will have a 100% chance of whatever outcome actually happens and it will be because of specific things in your life.
You would only be worried if you personally fit the average type of person that this study looked at but thats verybunlikely, and if it was true for you it would necessarily be untrue for many others.
Thank you for the realistic take. Additionally, the country where this study originated, India, has rampant poverty and less cleanly habits than many other countries - on top of having really, really low vaccination rates.
One of the main reasons why COVID deaths were ever as bad as they were in the US and EU was due to obesity rates being much higher. You can't expect to have high levels of body fat and sustain yourself on Diet Coke yet still be healthy enough to manage severe illness.
Indeed, in my argument I simplified the situation. I ignored all the factors. If I checked the age group I'd have a better guess. But, if I don't look up information my best guess is still 7%.
And, your argument is another simplification. In reality, there's no way I can predict that 100%. There's still uncertainty there.
I don't think I can convince you, though. It's very rare to change someone's mind on the web, anyway.
FWIW, you're both right.
You can't know if you're the average person, so you're right to read the study and think "getting COVID that's bad enough to hospitalize me is bad, not only for the hospitalization, but now I'm aware there are elevated risks even afterwards!" That's useful information that can help you make good future choices.
That being said. If you get COVID and are hospitalized, which group in that study you fall into will be due to all your personal health factors, not the study.