this post was submitted on 14 Jun 2023
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Dude, none of these are gonna be considered "major." If you were to travel to the year 2500 and asked people about COVID-19 or the war in Ukraine, only huge history nerds would have any idea of what you're talking about
I think that the first AGI, which will probably be this decade, will be considered a major historical event by 2500, just like how we still consider the invention of the printing press a major historical event.
If the Ukraine war ends up escalating into WW3, I think that will count as well, unless we get up to like WWX.
If David Grusch is right, I think disclosure would make that list.
Extreme doubt about AGI being developed anytime soon. It's a moral panic stirred up by billionaires to inflate their new tech bubble
Accidently used the downvote button as a disagree button but I undid it and am leaving this comment instead. I personally think agi is uncomfortably close to the horizon. A lot about our lives is going to fundamentally change very quickly IMO.