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Apple Weather's forecasts are so bad my meteorologist made a post about it (spacecityweather.com)

submitted 2 years ago by [email protected] to c/apple_enthusiast

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Apple Weather forecasts for my area have shown a 30-50% chance of precipitation for eternity, even when there isn't a cloud in sight. My meteorologist has told his readers to ignore Apple's forecasts.

This started around the time the Apple Weather outages a few months ago and haven't improved. YSK that you can report inaccurate forecasts from within the app, but it hasn't improved for me.

I'm currently using Foreca on iPhone and the free version of Carrot on Apple Watch.

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[–] [email protected] 9 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (6 children)

How can Apple got this wrong? Pretty much all meteorological data are sourced from the same set of weather forecasting data produced from running weather simulations on weather agencies supercomputers using satellites and ground observation data. The forecasting models will pretty much produce almost similar results when fed with the same data, which is why weather reports are usually pretty similar even though they're produced by different weather agencies.

Does Apple actually run their own weather simulations here? Probably for their hyper local next-hour weather prediction feature? Or could it be that Apple is using some "AI" for their weather forecasting and the AI conjured some number out of its ass instead of running full physics simulation?

[–] gdbjr 1 points 2 years ago

Apple sources it us data from the weather channel. Which is a pretty shitty source. Would be nice if they had options for the other sources.

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