this post was submitted on 24 Aug 2023
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Um, just what it says on the tin. Article by Jeff Foust.

Berger's Law: "If a rocket is predicted to make its debut in Q4 of a calendar year, and that quarter is six or more months away, the launch will be delayed."

When Isaacman and SpaceX announced Polaris in February 2022, they scheduled the Polaris Dawn mission for as soon as the fourth quarter of 2022. However, by last October the launch slipped to at least March 2023, which the program attributed to readiness of the vehicle and training as well as the schedule of other Crew Dragon missions.

In a talk at a conference in February, Isaacman said he expected Polaris Dawn to launch this summer....

Isaacman, in the podcast interview, suggested the delays were linked to the development of a new spacesuit required for a spacewalk ...

Polaris Dawn is the first of three missions in a program that will culminate in the first crewed launch of Starship. That final mission is “pretty far out there,” Isaacman said, noting that SpaceX still had a lot of progress to make on Starship before flying people on it.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

If it's not on the manifest now then I'd assume it'd be at least three months out.

Can't wait for this one. If they pull it off it should be one hell of a show!