this post was submitted on 06 Jul 2023
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There's really no imminent threat with Meta and ActivityPub, as a standard.
As for Threads and Mastodon, the "threat" is mild. If Meta wants your data, they can get it without spinning up an entire social network. If the concern is that it's going to lower the quality of the content, well, there's probably some truth to that, but that would happen with popularity, regardless of which service became popular, and it's a problem solved by the block function.
data is not a problem, you should accept what you post publicly to be well... public
what most people are worried about is embrace extend and extinguish policy, if you haven't read it already here it is
During the short time Google also acquired users, who moved from other XMPP software because...well, the software was more integrated with other stuff. So when you then defederate, the rest is left with less users and a terrible experience.
Google did the same with Chrome and the web standards too. Look at the browser competition nowadays...