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I'll bet 100 USD that Gaetz isn't around much longer. My guess is that he'll be bounced out of the HoR before the end of the year, maybe right after they restart in 2024 but no longer than that. He ended his political career with this stunt.
All he needs is for his red district to continue to vote for him. They obviously like him, they like that he is in the news and sticking it to the establishment. His district is way up in the panhandle, it's more Alabama than Florida. He's in no danger of losing his seat.
Ethics Violations Committee says otherwise. There's a large portion of the GoP that will cheer his removal and the Democrats won't even think twice about voting for him to get booted.
That would risk pissing off the MAGA base. Like really piss them off. I doubt they would make that move, but it's possible.
I don't think the MAGA base is going to matter much. There's not nearly enough of them in the House to save Gaetz from the Democrats and POd Republicans. If that vote gets called Gaetz is going to get the boot. This is an opportunity for establishment / moderate Republicans to throw a lasso around the Chaos Caucus.
And then trump rails against anyone who voted out his buddy Gaetz and calls them RINO's and they get primaried.