this post was submitted on 14 Aug 2023
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Alright but what would guarantee Russia's safety after they do that? It's obviously not in their interest. What they want is to negotiate a peace treaty, which is why they are holding their defense line so strongly until their opponents are exhausted.
If a coup happened tomorrow in Canada and the new government was suddenly allying itself with China and asking for Chinese military bases to be placed along the border with the US I guarantee that America would invade Canada within the year to "protect itself" against the "Chinese invasion."
When you're a country on the other side of the world and you're trying to put troops in place to surround a country you've arbitrarily decided is your "enemy" then that's a clear, open threat.
Would you have believed Russia saying that their troop buildup on the border of Ukraine in 2021 was "defensive?" If not why would you expect Russia to believe the same of nato? Russia at the time was claiming there was no intent to invade, just like NATO does.
America wouldn't invade they would follow the Cuba missile crisis playbook: destabilize the regime, support opposition factions, and institute economic sanctions. Russia is the only one that has a recent history of invading neighbors.
NATO troops have been in Poland and the Baltics since '04 and there were positive relations between Russia and NATO during the war on terror period. Relations started to deteriorate when Putin decided to brand NATO as anti-Russian in late 2000s. Back then he saw the writing on the wall that a majority of Ukrainian people wanted to align more with the West which threatened his bloc.